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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
Contact: Jim Gerstein 202-478-5455
June 19, 2001

New Democracy Corps Survey:
BUSH v DEMOCRAT: DEAD HEAT
TAX CUT SECOND TO EDUCATION, HEALTH CARE
National Post-Tax Cut Poll Offers Lessons from Budget Battle

WASHINGTON - President George W. Bush runs dead even against an unnamed Democratic Presidential nominee if the election were held today, a new national survey from Democracy Corps shows, and Americans want to cancel the tax cut for the wealthiest to invest instead in education and a prescription drug benefit.

"Americans have a different agenda than President Bush and increasingly, they understand he is not representing their interests," said Stan Greenberg, President of Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research, who founded the independent, non-profit Democracy Corps with James Carville and Bob Shrum to conduct public opinion research and provide strategic advice to progressive organizations on the issues most important to the American people.

When presented the phrase, "President for the oil companies," 56 percent said it describes Bush well and 37 percent not well. "The Bush agenda has three parts: big oil, bigger oil, biggest oil - and Americans know it," said Carville.

The June 11- 13, 2001 survey of 1000 likely voters asked Americans about their views toward President Bush, the 2004 vote, and the tax bill passed by Congress. Highlights of the poll include:

2004 Vote: President Bush in a Tie with Generic Democrat


President George W. Bush and a "Democratic nominee for President" run in a dead tie of 44-44. Although Bush is perceived as a leader of good character, voters question who Bush is for. When asked, 63 percent of the people responded that they believe Bush is more for big business than the average person.

2002 Vote: Congressional Democrats Favored


If the 2002 elections were held today and people were voting for the Member of Congress in their district, the Democratic candidate receives 46 percent to 44 percent for the Republican candidate. After describing their positions on the tax cut, the vote shifts to 51-43 in favor of the Democrat.

Roll Back Bush Tax Cut to Fund Education and Health Care


When asked whether they favor Bush's tax cut, 54 percent are in favor and 42 percent oppose. However, in the emerging debate on revisiting the tax cut, large numbers of Americans seek to cancel the rate cuts to the wealthiest one percent in order to increase spending on education and health care.

Do you favor canceling the rate cuts to the wealthiest one percent to increase education spending by $200 billion?

Favor 61
Oppose 35

Do you favor canceling the rate cuts to the wealthiest one percent to create a real prescription drug benefit to all seniors?

Favor 70
Oppose 26

There is overwhelming support for the tax package's elimination of the marriage penalty and expanded deductions for college tuition. However, a majority opposes the Bush plan to cut the top tax rate and eliminate the estate tax.

Should this specific tax cut happen, be delayed a number of years, or be canceled?

  Happen Delay/Cancel
Make college tuition deductible starting in 2002 87 10
Elimination of the marriage penalty beginning in 2005 74 23
Elimination of taxes on estates over $3.5 million by 2010 46 48
Cutting the top tax rate for those earning over $280,000 from 39 to 35 percent 45 51

Democracy Corps is an independent non-profit organization founded by James Carville, Stanley Greenberg, and Bob Shrum. The organization conducts public opinion research and provides strategic advice to progressive organizations in an effort to shape the public debate on issues that matter most to Americans.

© 2001 - Democracy Corps

This is an archived page. For the current Democracy Corps site, please go to http://www.democracycorps.com/.